Do thermal makers’ orders and sales confirm the AI demand?热管理厂商的订单和销售印证 AI 需求了吗?
Four big thermal makers’ sales growthdoubled to about 20% in Q3 2026.四家大型热管理厂商的销售增速在 2026 年第三季度翻倍至约 20%。
All four grew orders faster than sales;makers in mainland China and in Taiwan each grew sales about 53%.四家的订单增速都快于销售增速;中国大陆和台湾厂商的销售各增长约 53%。
Company results to Q3 2026 (Modine to 2026-06, its fiscal Q1 2027); Taiwan monthly revenue to 2026-09.公司业绩截至 2026 年第三季度(Modine 截至 2026-06,即其财年 Q1 2027);台湾月营收截至 2026-09。
Sales growth of thermal makers by group, % year on year热管理厂商分组销售增速,同比 %
North America, large makers北美大型厂商: :Vertiv, Johnson Controls, Carrier and TraneVertiv、江森自控、开利、Trane
North America, specialists北美专业厂商: :Modine and nVentModine、nVent
Mainland China中国大陆: :Envicool, Shenling, Goaland and Sugon Data Infrastructure英维克、申菱环境、高澜股份、曙光数创
Taiwan (monthly)台湾(月度): :AVC and Auras奇鋐、双鸿
+20%
Combined sales of Vertiv, Johnson Controls, Carrier and Trane in Q3 2026 on a year earlier; +9.9% in Q2 2026Vertiv、江森自控、开利、Trane Q3 2026 合计销售同比;Q2 2026 为 +9.9%
Combined sales of Envicool, Shenling, Goaland and Sugon Data Infrastructure in Q3 2026 on a year earlier; Taiwan’s AVC and Auras +53%英维克、申菱环境、高澜股份、曙光数创 Q3 2026 合计销售同比;台湾奇鋐与双鸿 +53%
Q3 2026 order growth against sales growth: Vertiv over 100% against +61%; Johnson Controls 44% against +10%; Carrier ~35% against +12%; Trane 20% against +18%. Carrier says its data-centre orders rose ~300%.Q3 2026 订单增速对比销售增速:Vertiv 超过 100%,销售 +61%;江森自控 44%,销售 +10%;开利 约 35%,销售 +12%;Trane 20%,销售 +18%。开利称其数据中心订单增长约 300%。
Trane and Johnson Controls together held USD 35.5 bn of backlog at the end of Q3 2026, against 26.0 bn in Q4 2025, the first quarter of Johnson Controls’ restated backlog. Carrier reported a record backlog of more than USD 8.5 bn; Vertiv’s 2026 releases read here state no backlog figure.Trane 与江森自控 Q3 2026 末合计在手订单 355 亿美元,Q4 2025(江森自控重述在手订单口径后的第一个季度)为 260 亿美元。开利公布的在手订单创纪录,超过 85 亿美元;Vertiv 2026 年的业绩公告(已核查部分)未披露在手订单数字。
AVC and Auras, Taiwan-listed thermal-module makers, publish revenue every month. Their combined revenue in Q3 2026 was +53% on a year earlier, after +121%, +108%, +66% in the quarters before: still fast, but slowing.奇鋐与双鸿是台湾上市的散热模组厂商,每月公布营收。两家 Q3 2026 合计营收同比 +53%,之前几个季度依次为 +121%、+108%、+66%:仍然很快,但在放缓。
Calculated from monthly revenue, % year on year由月营收计算,同比 %AVC奇鋐Auras双鸿
Mainland China: three up, one down中国大陆:三家增长,一家下滑
Q3 2026 sales on a year earlier: Envicool +33%; Shenling +103%; Goaland +61%; Sugon Data Infrastructure -43%.Q3 2026 销售同比:英维克 +33%;申菱环境 +103%;高澜股份 +61%;曙光数创 -43%。
Margins: up at Vertiv and Carrier, slightly down at Trane利润率:Vertiv 和开利上升,Trane 略降
Adjusted operating margin in Q3 2026 against a year earlier: Vertiv 25.2% against 22.3%; Carrier 17.4% against 14.8%; Trane 20.2% against 20.6%.Q3 2026 调整后营业利润率对比一年前:Vertiv 25.2%,一年前 22.3%;开利 17.4%,一年前 14.8%;Trane 20.2%,一年前 20.6%。